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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Reef Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
The live forecast above shows today’s conditions for Melbourne. Expect a mainly fine morning with cloud building later. A cool change arrives by late afternoon, bringing a moderate south-westerly wind and a slight chance of a light shower.
When will the cool change reach my suburb?
The south-westerly change typically reaches the city centre around 3–4 pm, moving through the outer northern and eastern suburbs an hour or two later. If you are near the bay, the sea breeze may arrive slightly earlier. Check the live forecast above for the latest timing in your area.
How strong will the wind be?
Wind speeds are expected to average 20–30 km/h, with gusts up to 45 km/h near the coast and exposed hills. It will feel noticeably fresher once the change hits. The morning stays fairly light, so outdoor plans before lunch should be comfortable.
Will it rain this afternoon?
Only a 20% chance of light drizzle after 3 pm. Most suburbs will stay dry. If you are out in the late afternoon, a light jacket may be handy, but you likely won’t need an umbrella.
What time will it cool down?
The temperature peaks in the early afternoon, then drops steadily after the change arrives between 3 and 5 pm. By evening, expect lows around 15–17°C—fresher than the morning warmth.
Should I carry a jacket today?
A light jacket or jumper is useful for evening plans. The morning and early afternoon are warm enough for short sleeves, but the afternoon wind and cooler air will make you glad to have something extra.
Sources
For the full week ahead, visit our Melbourne Weather page or the main Australia weather hub for other capital cities.